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Harvest now, decrypt later: post-quantum encryption reaches the data layer

Two executive orders, three NIST standards, and NSA’s CNSA 2.0 have turned post-quantum cryptography from research topic into procurement requirement. What the mandates actually say, and how BrickStor SP is post-quantum ready for data at rest and data in transit.

RackTop SystemsJuly 27, 20266 min read

Key takeaways

  • The quantum threat to data is not hypothetical or future-tense: adversaries capture encrypted traffic and stolen files today to decrypt them when a cryptanalytically relevant quantum computer exists — the "harvest now, decrypt later" attack.
  • NIST finalized the post-quantum standards — FIPS 203 (ML-KEM), FIPS 204 (ML-DSA), and FIPS 205 (SLH-DSA) — in August 2024, giving vendors and agencies concrete algorithms to implement.
  • Executive Order 14144 (January 2025) put PQC into federal procurement and set a TLS 1.3 support date of January 2, 2030; EO 14306 (June 2025) sustained the PQC direction and drove the CISA/NSA product-categories list, published January 2026.
  • NSA’s CNSA 2.0 defines what quantum-resistant means for National Security Systems — ML-KEM-1024, ML-DSA-87, AES-256, SHA-384/512 — with new NSS acquisitions expected to comply from January 2027 and the full transition culminating in 2033.
  • BrickStor SP is post-quantum ready today: AES-256 FIPS 140-3 encryption for data at rest, ML-KEM hybrid key exchange via current OpenSSH and OpenSSL for data in transit, CNSA 2.0 compliance, and a CSfC Component listing expected fall 2026.

Post-quantum cryptography (PQC) is encryption designed to withstand attack by quantum computers — and U.S. policy now requires it. The most important fact about the quantum threat is that it does not wait for a quantum computer. An adversary who exfiltrates encrypted files or records encrypted traffic today can hold that ciphertext until a cryptanalytically relevant quantum computer exists, then decrypt everything at once. The intelligence community calls this "harvest now, decrypt later," and it is the reason quantum-safe protection is a present-tense requirement rather than a future one.

The deadline, in other words, is set by your data’s lifespan, not by quantum hardware roadmaps. Weapons-system data, medical records, legal files, and intellectual property that must stay confidential for ten or twenty years need quantum-resistant protection now, because the harvest phase of the attack is already underway.

From memo to mandate: the policy timeline

U.S. policy has been converging on this conclusion for four years, along two parallel tracks: a civilian track (NIST standards, OMB memoranda, CISA product guidance) and a National Security Systems track (NSA’s CNSA 2.0). The last eighteen months turned both from direction into requirement. On the civilian side, National Security Memorandum 10 (May 2022) set the goal of migrating vulnerable federal cryptography; OMB Memorandum M-23-02 (November 2022) and the Quantum Computing Cybersecurity Preparedness Act (December 2022) required agencies to inventory their quantum-vulnerable systems annually and prioritize migration. The technical foundation arrived in August 2024, when NIST finalized the first three post-quantum standards: FIPS 203 (ML-KEM, for key establishment), FIPS 204 (ML-DSA, for digital signatures), and FIPS 205 (SLH-DSA, a hash-based signature backup).

Executive Order 14144 (January 16, 2025) then moved PQC into procurement: it directed CISA to publish a list of product categories where PQC support is widely available, told agencies to move toward quantum-resistant key establishment, and required agency support for TLS 1.3 (or its successor) by January 2, 2030. Executive Order 14306 (June 6, 2025) amended its predecessor but deliberately sustained the post-quantum provisions — requiring CISA, in consultation with NSA, to release the product-categories list by December 1, 2025, and keep it updated. CISA published that list in January 2026, tiering categories by how widely PQC-capable products are available. The signal to vendors and buyers alike: quantum-safe support is becoming a line item in federal solicitations, category by category.

MilestoneDateTrackWhat it did
NSM-10May 2022BothSet national policy for migrating vulnerable cryptography
NSA CNSA 2.0September 2022 (updated December 2024)NSSDefined the quantum-resistant algorithm suite and transition timeline
OMB M-23-02November 2022CivilianRequired annual cryptographic inventories and migration prioritization
Quantum Computing Cybersecurity Preparedness ActDecember 2022CivilianPut the inventory requirement into statute
NIST FIPS 203 / 204 / 205August 2024BothFinalized the ML-KEM, ML-DSA, and SLH-DSA standards
Executive Order 14144January 2025CivilianPut PQC into procurement; TLS 1.3 support by January 2, 2030
Executive Order 14306June 2025CivilianSustained the PQC provisions; drove the CISA/NSA product-categories list
CISA PQC product-categories listJanuary 2026CivilianNamed the product categories where PQC support is expected
U.S. post-quantum cryptography policy timeline, 2022 to 2033A vertical timeline of post-quantum policy milestones. May 2022: NSM-10 sets national migration policy. September 2022: NSA publishes CNSA 2.0 for National Security Systems. November to December 2022: OMB M-23-02 and the Quantum Computing Cybersecurity Preparedness Act require annual cryptographic inventories. August 2024, highlighted as the pivot: NIST finalizes FIPS 203, 204, and 205. January 2025: Executive Order 14144 puts PQC into procurement with TLS 1.3 support required by January 2, 2030. June 2025: Executive Order 14306 sustains the PQC provisions. January 2026: CISA publishes the product-categories list. The timeline ends with three deadlines ahead: new NSS acquisitions CNSA 2.0 compliant from January 2027, TLS 1.3 support by January 2, 2030, and all NSS cryptography quantum-resistant by 2033.From memo to mandateThe U.S. post-quantum policy timeline, 2022–2033Both tracksCivilianNational Security SystemsMAY 2022NSM-10National policy set for migratingvulnerable federal cryptographySEP 2022NSA CNSA 2.0Quantum-resistant algorithm suite andtransition timeline for NSS definedNOV–DEC 2022OMB M-23-02 + Preparedness ActAnnual cryptographic inventoriesrequired by memo, then by statuteAUG 2024 · THE PIVOTNIST FIPS 203 / 204 / 205ML-KEM, ML-DSA, and SLH-DSA finalized —the algorithms both tracks now requireJAN 2025Executive Order 14144PQC enters procurement; TLS 1.3 supportrequired by January 2, 2030JUN 2025Executive Order 14306PQC provisions sustained; CISA/NSAproduct-categories list mandatedJAN 2026CISA product-categories listCategories where PQC support isexpected, published and maintainedDEADLINES AHEADJan 1, 2027New NSS acquisitions expected CNSA 2.0 compliantJan 2, 2030Agency support for TLS 1.3 (or successor) required2033All NSS cryptography quantum-resistant (CNSA 2.0)
Four years from memo to mandate: the civilian and National Security Systems tracks converge on the August 2024 NIST standards, with binding deadlines in 2027, 2030, and 2033.

CNSA 2.0: what quantum-resistant means for national security data

For National Security Systems and the contractors who support them, the authoritative definition of quantum-resistant is NSA’s Commercial National Security Algorithm Suite 2.0. CNSA 2.0 specifies ML-KEM-1024 for key establishment, ML-DSA-87 for general-purpose signatures, LMS and XMSS for software and firmware signing, AES-256 for symmetric encryption, and SHA-384/512 for hashing — the highest parameter sets of the NIST standards, not the baseline ones. The transition is phased by technology category, with new NSS acquisitions expected to be CNSA 2.0 compliant starting January 1, 2027, and the full transition culminating in 2033.

Two details matter for storage buyers. First, AES-256 is already on the quantum-resistant side of the ledger: a quantum computer running Grover’s algorithm halves the effective strength of a symmetric key, which is exactly why CNSA 2.0 requires 256-bit AES rather than 128-bit. Second, the quantum-vulnerable pieces are the asymmetric ones — the key exchanges and signatures that protect data in transit and software integrity — which is where the new NIST algorithms come in.

CNSA 2.0 phaseExpectation
Software and firmware signingBegin immediately; exclusively CNSA 2.0 by 2030
Networking equipment (VPNs, routers)Exclusively CNSA 2.0 by 2030
Operating systemsExclusively CNSA 2.0 by 2033
New NSS acquisitionsCNSA 2.0 compliant starting January 1, 2027
All NSS cryptographyQuantum-resistant by 2033

How BrickStor SP is post-quantum ready

BrickStor SP’s cryptography maps cleanly onto that symmetric/asymmetric split. For data at rest, BrickStor SP encrypts with AES-256 validated under FIPS 140-3, with per-dataset keys and integrated KMIP key management — already the algorithm and key length CNSA 2.0 requires, on the current federal validation standard. For data in transit and administrative access, BrickStor SP uses OpenSSH and OpenSSL — and names matter here: OpenSSH added ML-KEM hybrid post-quantum key exchange in version 9.9 and made it the default in OpenSSH 10, and OpenSSL 3.5 added ML-KEM, ML-DSA, and SLH-DSA. Sessions negotiated with quantum-resistant hybrid key establishment are not harvestable ciphertext waiting for a quantum computer.

The platform is CNSA 2.0 compliant, and BrickStor CSfC DAR — the dual-layer classified data-at-rest variant — is expected to achieve its NSA CSfC Component listing in fall 2026, extending the same quantum-safe posture to classified missions. And because the cryptographic stack rides on OpenSSH and OpenSSL rather than proprietary implementations, the path forward is clean: as NIST and NSA guidance evolves, the algorithms evolve with the libraries, without waiting on a vendor’s bespoke cryptography roadmap.

CNSA 2.0 requirementBrickStor SP implementation
AES-256 symmetric encryptionFIPS 140-3 validated AES-256 for data at rest, with per-dataset keys
ML-KEM key establishmentML-KEM hybrid key exchange for data in transit via current OpenSSH (9.9+, default in 10) and OpenSSL (3.5+)
SHA-384 / SHA-512 hashingProvided by the same current OpenSSH / OpenSSL cryptographic stack
Key management disciplineIntegrated KMIP-compliant key management with automated rotation
Classified data at restBrickStor CSfC DAR dual-layer encryption; CSfC Component listing expected fall 2026

The data-layer lesson: PQC protects captured data — stop the capture

Post-quantum cryptography answers one question: if an adversary obtains your ciphertext, can they ever read it? That is essential, and it is not sufficient. Harvest-now-decrypt-later is, at bottom, an exfiltration problem — the harvest only works if the adversary gets the data out. A storage platform that detects bulk reads and staged exfiltration on live production data, enforces attribute-based least privilege on every SMB, NFS, S3, and Web Drive operation, and keeps an immutable per-operation audit record attacks the harvest itself, not just the later decryption. That is what Active Defense does inline in the data path.

The audit record carries a second dividend: if a harvest is suspected, an immutable per-operation record tells you exactly which files were read, by whom, and when — the difference between a scoped disclosure and a worst-case assumption. The complete posture for long-lived sensitive data is both layers together: quantum-resistant cryptography so captured data stays sealed, and Cyberstorage so far less of it is captured in the first place.

Frequently asked questions

An attack strategy in which adversaries exfiltrate encrypted data or record encrypted traffic today, then store it until a cryptanalytically relevant quantum computer can break the asymmetric cryptography protecting it. It makes post-quantum migration urgent for any data whose confidentiality must outlast the arrival of quantum computing — the deadline is set by the data’s lifespan, not the hardware’s.
No one knows, and honest experts say so — published estimates for a cryptanalytically relevant quantum computer range from the early 2030s to well beyond. The harvest-now-decrypt-later threat makes the exact date largely moot: data stolen today that must stay confidential for a decade needs quantum-resistant protection now, regardless of when the machine arrives. That is why the executive orders and CNSA 2.0 set migration deadlines without waiting for the hardware.
Executive Order 14144 (January 2025) directed CISA to publish a list of product categories where PQC support is widely available, moved agencies toward quantum-resistant key establishment, and required agency support for TLS 1.3 or its successor by January 2, 2030. Executive Order 14306 (June 2025) amended EO 14144 but sustained its post-quantum provisions, requiring the CISA/NSA product-categories list by December 1, 2025 — published in January 2026. Together they make PQC support a procurement consideration across the named categories.
NSA’s Commercial National Security Algorithm Suite 2.0, the quantum-resistant algorithm suite for National Security Systems: ML-KEM-1024 for key establishment, ML-DSA-87 for digital signatures, LMS/XMSS for software and firmware signing, AES-256 for symmetric encryption, and SHA-384/512 for hashing. New NSS acquisitions are expected to comply starting January 2027, with the full transition culminating in 2033.
Yes, for practical purposes. A quantum computer running Grover’s algorithm roughly halves the effective strength of a symmetric key, leaving AES-256 with the equivalent of 128-bit security — which is why CNSA 2.0 specifies AES-256. The quantum-vulnerable algorithms are the asymmetric ones (RSA, ECC) used for key exchange and signatures, which the NIST post-quantum standards replace.
Far less than most teams expect. ML-KEM is computationally fast — key encapsulation is competitive with or faster than classical ECDH — and the main cost is larger key and ciphertext sizes, which add modest handshake overhead. Hybrid modes (classical plus post-quantum together, as OpenSSH uses by default) add both algorithms’ costs but keep security if either holds. For storage traffic, the per-session handshake cost is negligible against sustained data transfer.
Three steps, in order. First, inventory your cryptography — you cannot migrate what you have not mapped, which is why OMB M-23-02 made inventories the first federal requirement. Second, identify your long-lived data: anything whose confidentiality must survive ten or more years is already exposed to harvest-now-decrypt-later and should be prioritized. Third, favor systems built on actively maintained cryptographic libraries (OpenSSH, OpenSSL) and validated symmetric encryption, so algorithms can evolve with guidance instead of requiring forklift replacements.
Yes. Data at rest is protected with AES-256 validated under FIPS 140-3 — the symmetric algorithm CNSA 2.0 requires. Data in transit and administrative sessions use OpenSSH (ML-KEM hybrid key exchange, default since OpenSSH 10) and OpenSSL 3.5+, which implement the NIST post-quantum algorithms. BrickStor SP is CNSA 2.0 compliant, and BrickStor CSfC DAR is expected to achieve its NSA CSfC Component listing in fall 2026.

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Post-Quantum Cryptography: EOs, CNSA 2.0, PQC-Ready NAS | RackTop Systems